{"id":20884,"date":"2018-12-13T06:43:03","date_gmt":"2018-12-13T05:43:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=20884"},"modified":"2020-02-17T07:56:45","modified_gmt":"2020-02-17T06:56:45","slug":"clo-wzajemne-obniza-handel","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/clo-wzajemne-obniza-handel\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u0142o wzajemne obni\u017ca handel drobnic\u0105"},"content":{"rendered":"

Okazuje si\u0119, \u017ce wbrew \u015bwietnym prognozom, handel drobnic\u0105 wyhamowa\u0142. Eksperci twierdzili, \u017ce wzrost w ca\u0142ym 2018 r. przewo\u017conej drog\u0105 morsk\u0105 drobnicy w kontenerach b\u0119dzie wi\u0119kszy o 4 pkt. proc. (do 125,2 mln). Wszystko przez c\u0142o wzajemne.<\/p>\n

BIMCO czyli Ba\u0142tycka i Mi\u0119dzynarodowa Rada Morska stwierdzi\u0142a, \u017ce tempo wzrostu handlu drobnic\u0105 na \u015bwiecie spad\u0142o gwa\u0142townie i nie osi\u0105ga spodziewanych rezultat\u00f3w. Co jest tego przyczyn\u0105? C\u0142o wzajemne, kt\u00f3re na\u0142o\u017cy\u0142y na siebie Stany Zjednoczone<\/a> i Chiny. Na handlowej wojnie dw\u00f3ch pot\u0119g traci tak naprawd\u0119 ca\u0142y \u015bwiat.<\/p>\n

C\u0142o wzajemne ma odzwierciedlenie<\/h2>\n

USA i Pa\u0144stwo \u015arodka \u201eobdarowa\u0142y si\u0119\u201d c\u0142em na handel zagraniczny w czerwcu i sierpniu. By\u0142 to kolejny etap wojny handlowej jak\u0105 od d\u0142u\u017cszego czasu prowadz\u0105 ze sob\u0105 Waszyngton i Pekin. Ich relacje maj\u0105 ogromny wp\u0142yw na wszystko co dzieje si\u0119 w \u015bwiatowym handlu. Przez wojn\u0119 \u015bwiatowych pot\u0119g transport drog\u0105 morsk\u0105 zmala\u0142 w trzecim kwartale 2018 r. o 1,5 proc. C\u0142o wzajemne jest wi\u0119c czynem uderzaj\u0105cym w ca\u0142y \u015bwiatowy transport \u2013 nie tylko te dwa pa\u0144stwa.<\/p>\n

Na pocz\u0105tku roku wydawa\u0142o si\u0119 jednak, \u017ce do tego nie dojdzie. Przew\u00f3z na linii Azja-Europa wzr\u00f3s\u0142 o 6 pkt. proc. w por\u00f3wnaniu z drugim kwarta\u0142em, ale ju\u017c tylko o 2,5 proc. w por\u00f3wnaniu z III kwarta\u0142em 2017 r., a w ci\u0105gu trzech pierwszych kwarta\u0142\u00f3w 2018 r. \u2013 tylko o 1,7 proc. (w stosunku do ubieg\u0142ego roku). Taka sytuacja odbija si\u0119 czkawk\u0105 na zainteresowanych przewozem \u2013 zar\u00f3wno samych przewo\u017anikach jak i przesy\u0142aj\u0105cych towar. Warto doda\u0107, \u017ce ultrakontenerowce (najwi\u0119ksze statki do przewozu towar\u00f3w w tym drobnicy) by\u0142y wype\u0142nione tylko w po\u0142owie. Chyba nie trzeba m\u00f3wi\u0107, jakim kosztem jest tak ma\u0142e ob\u0142o\u017cenie.<\/p>\n

Chiny i USA rozdaj\u0105 karty<\/h2>\n

Nie mo\u017cna si\u0119 dziwi\u0107, \u017ce decyzja w\u0142adz w Stanach i Chinach mia\u0142a wi\u0119kszy wp\u0142yw na \u015bwiatowy handel ni\u017c rosn\u0105ce ceny paliwa. USA i pot\u0119ga azjatycka eksportuj\u0105 i importuj\u0105 najwi\u0119ksze na \u015bwiecie ilo\u015bci towar\u00f3w. Chiny nied\u0142ugo mog\u0105 si\u0119 sta\u0107 nawet najwi\u0119kszym importerem na Ziemi. Brak wymiany handlowej na ich linii (c\u0142o wzajemne ogranicza rentowno\u015b\u0107 takiego procederu) jest zgubne dla gospodarek, kt\u00f3re wsp\u00f3\u0142pracuj\u0105 z powy\u017cszymi krajami (a tych, kt\u00f3re nie wsp\u00f3\u0142pracuj\u0105 prawie nie ma).<\/p>\n

Przewidywania na kolejne lata s\u0105 r\u00f3\u017cne. Eksperci twierdz\u0105, \u017ce w 2019 roku tendencja mo\u017ce si\u0119 poprawi\u0107. Niestety, c\u0142o wzajemne jest niekorzystne dla przewo\u017anik\u00f3w. Zwi\u0119ksza koszt przewozu towaru i ogranicza jego przesy\u0142. Dodatkowo zwi\u0119ksza koszt biurokracji i czas przewozu towar\u00f3w. Nie wiadomo jeszcze czy istnieje szansa na szybkie zniesienie szkodliwych dla gospodarki op\u0142at. Na razie Waszyngton i Chiny nie podejmuj\u0105 dialogu. Sytuacja geopolityczna (polityczna wojna Ukrainy z Rosj\u0105, Brexit) sprawia, \u017ce rz\u0105dy tych dw\u00f3ch pa\u0144stw stoj\u0105 ze sob\u0105 cz\u0119sto w opozycji a wzajemny handel bardzo na tym traci. Ca\u0142e szcz\u0119\u015bcie, \u017ce handel drobnic\u0105 jest tak wa\u017cn\u0105 cz\u0119\u015bci\u0105 \u015bwiatowego przewozu towarowego, \u017ce nawet c\u0142o wzajemne nie jest mu straszne. Rozw\u00f3j drobnicy<\/a> jest zauwa\u017calny r\u00f3wnie\u017c w naszym kraju, a tendencja od lat jest zwy\u017ckowa. By by\u0142a sta\u0142a!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Okazuje si\u0119, \u017ce wbrew \u015bwietnym prognozom, handel drobnic\u0105 wyhamowa\u0142. Eksperci twierdzili, \u017ce wzrost w ca\u0142ym 2018 r. przewo\u017conej drog\u0105 morsk\u0105 drobnicy w kontenerach b\u0119dzie wi\u0119kszy o 4 pkt. proc. (do 125,2 mln). Wszystko przez c\u0142o wzajemne. BIMCO czyli Ba\u0142tycka i Mi\u0119dzynarodowa Rada Morska stwierdzi\u0142a, \u017ce tempo wzrostu handlu drobnic\u0105 na \u015bwiecie spad\u0142o gwa\u0142townie i nie …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":20890,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[150],"tags":[103,6180,63,82],"class_list":["post-20884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ze-swiata","tag-clo","tag-clo-wzajemne","tag-drobnica","tag-handel"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"20890","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"C\u0142o wzajemne pomi\u0119dzy dwiema wielkimi handlowymi pot\u0119gami odbija si\u0119 na handlu drobnic\u0105. 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wzajemne obni\u017ca handel drobnic\u0105 - \u2705 Seaoo.com | Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"C\u0142o wzajemne pomi\u0119dzy dwiema wielkimi handlowymi pot\u0119gami odbija si\u0119 na handlu drobnic\u0105. 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