{"id":22689,"date":"2019-09-23T06:21:41","date_gmt":"2019-09-23T04:21:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=22689"},"modified":"2020-01-09T13:41:57","modified_gmt":"2020-01-09T12:41:57","slug":"arabia-saudyjska-zatrzesie-swiatowym-handlem","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/arabia-saudyjska-zatrzesie-swiatowym-handlem\/","title":{"rendered":"Arabia Saudyjska zatrz\u0119sie \u015bwiatowym handlem?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Wygl\u0105da na to, \u017ce mamy kryzys \u2013 spory. Po ataku na z\u0142o\u017ca ropy naftowej Arabia Saudyjska obni\u017cy\u0142a wydobycie tego niezb\u0119dnego dla transportu surowca o po\u0142ow\u0119. W zwi\u0105zku z tym, \u017ce Saudyjczycy s\u0105 jednym z najwi\u0119kszych dostawc\u00f3w ropy na \u015bwiecie, nagle na rynku zacz\u0119\u0142a si\u0119 panika. Czy to ju\u017c kryzys?<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Arabia Saudyjska to potentat pod wzgl\u0119dem wydobycia ropy naftowej. Kraj ten jest liderem je\u017celi chodzi o produkcj\u0119 ilo\u015bci bary\u0142ek na dzie\u0144. Co ciekawe, za atakiem na jedn\u0105 z najwi\u0119kszych rafinerii (w\u0142a\u015bciwie dwie, nale\u017c\u0105ce do jednego koncernu) na Bliskim Wschodzie stoi najpewniej inny wa\u017cny gracz \u2013 Irak. I tu pojawia si\u0119 problem.<\/p>\n

Jak Arabia Saudyjska uregulowa\u0142a ceny?<\/h2>\n

Do ataku na dwie rafinerie dosz\u0142o w sobot\u0119. Cho\u0107 przyzna\u0142o si\u0119 do niego jeme\u0144skie plemi\u0119 Huti, to raczej nikt nie bierze na powa\u017cnie motyw\u00f3w rebeliant\u00f3w i ich samodzielno\u015bci. Eksperci podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce zdarzenie mia\u0142o swoje drugie dno. Z udzia\u0142em Iranu w\u0142a\u015bnie.<\/p>\n

Nie zmienia to jednak faktu, \u017ce ucierpieli\u015bmy na ataku wszyscy. Du\u017ce wydobycie ropy przez Saudyjczyk\u00f3w sprawia, \u017ce to oni reguluj\u0105 g\u0142\u00f3wnie ceny ropy. Iran te\u017c oczywi\u015bcie ma na to wp\u0142yw. Skoro atak spowodowa\u0142 ci\u0105g\u0142e obni\u017cenie wydobycia o 5,7 miliona bary\u0142ek ropy dziennie, to mo\u017cemy przeliczy\u0107, \u017ce to a\u017c 5 procent ca\u0142ego \u015bwiatowego wydobycia!<\/p>\n

Szybko odbi\u0142o si\u0119 to na kieszeniach sektora transportu. Zaraz po ataku cena za bary\u0142k\u0119 wzros\u0142a o oko\u0142o 20 procent. Ca\u0142e szcz\u0119\u015bcie sytuacja szybko si\u0119 ustabilizowa\u0142a, ale nie zmienia to faktu, \u017ce wzros\u0142a o oko\u0142o 10 procent. Bary\u0142ka ropy podro\u017ca\u0142a o pi\u0119\u0107 dolar\u00f3w.<\/p>\n

Wp\u0142yw na transport jest du\u017cy<\/h2>\n

Powag\u0119 sytuacji najlepiej zaprezentujemy badaj\u0105c polskie przyk\u0142ady. Eksperci podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce przest\u00f3j w wydobyciu ropy (Arabia Saudyjska zapowiada, \u017ce wr\u00f3ci on do normy dopiero pod koniec wrze\u015bnia) zmieni na niekorzy\u015b\u0107 ceny paliw w Polsce.<\/p>\n

I tak teraz benzyn\u0119 i rop\u0119 mo\u017cemy zatankowa\u0107 za oko\u0142o 5 z\u0142otych za litr. To praktycznie ju\u017c przesz\u0142o\u015b\u0107. Analitycy podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce sytuacja zale\u017cy od przysz\u0142o\u015bci konfliktu na Bliskim Wschodzie. Na razie jednak ceny mog\u0105 podnie\u015b\u0107 si\u0119 o oko\u0142o 30 groszy na litrze.<\/p>\n

Tak du\u017ca i gwa\u0142towna podwy\u017cka to dla firmy tankuj\u0105cej 1000 litr\u00f3w paliwa dziennie koszt 300 z\u0142otych. Miesi\u0119cznie wychodzi prawie 9 000 z\u0142otych wydatk\u00f3w wi\u0119cej. Rocznie daje to 108 000 z\u0142otych!<\/p>\n

Iran te\u017c gra tu wa\u017cn\u0105 rol\u0119.<\/h2>\n

Nie zapominajmy o Iranie. Prawdopodobny zleceniodawca mia\u0142 w swojej strategii ataku kilka cel\u00f3w. Pierwszy to postraszenie konkurenta. Drugi to wzmocnienie pozycji na Bliskim Wschodzie<\/a>. Trzeci \u2013 najpewniej gospodarczy, przyci\u0105gni\u0119cie klient\u00f3w na swoj\u0105 stron\u0119.<\/p>\n

Efektem ataku mo\u017ce by\u0107 jednak odwet. Tu musimy pami\u0119ta\u0107, \u017ce Iran, podobnie jak Arabia Saudyjska te\u017c na ropie stoi. Je\u017celi pomi\u0119dzy tymi mocarstwami rozp\u0119ta si\u0119 wojna, to ceny ropy mog\u0105 bardzo drastycznie rosn\u0105\u0107 do niewyobra\u017calnych teraz poziom\u00f3w.<\/p>\n

W ten spos\u00f3b w g\u00f3r\u0119 p\u00f3jd\u0105 najpewniej ceny wszystkich us\u0142ug transportowych. To natomiast odbije si\u0119 na cenach produkt\u00f3w i pozosta\u0142ych us\u0142ug. Miejmy nadziej\u0119 wi\u0119c, \u017ce do eskalacji konfliktu nie dojdzie i sytuacja zacznie si\u0119 uspokaja\u0107.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Wygl\u0105da na to, \u017ce mamy kryzys \u2013 spory. Po ataku na z\u0142o\u017ca ropy naftowej Arabia Saudyjska obni\u017cy\u0142a wydobycie tego niezb\u0119dnego dla transportu surowca o po\u0142ow\u0119. W zwi\u0105zku z tym, \u017ce Saudyjczycy s\u0105 jednym z najwi\u0119kszych dostawc\u00f3w ropy na \u015bwiecie, nagle na rynku zacz\u0119\u0142a si\u0119 panika. Czy to ju\u017c kryzys?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":22696,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,150],"tags":[811,82,333,6369,5902,2061,33],"class_list":["post-22689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-handel-zagraniczny","category-ze-swiata","tag-arabia-saudyjska","tag-handel","tag-iran","tag-opec","tag-paliwo","tag-ropa-naftowa","tag-transport-2"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"22696","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Arabia Saudyjska przez ostatni atak na swoje rafinerie musia\u0142a obni\u017cy\u0107 wydobycie ropy. 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