{"id":22857,"date":"2019-11-04T06:07:28","date_gmt":"2019-11-04T05:07:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=22857"},"modified":"2020-01-09T13:32:28","modified_gmt":"2020-01-09T12:32:28","slug":"autonomiczny-transport-albo-problem","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/autonomiczny-transport-albo-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Autonomiczny transport albo problem!"},"content":{"rendered":"

PwC opublikowa\u0142o ma\u0142o optymistyczny raport dotycz\u0105cy sytuacji transportu drogowego w Polsce. Brakuje bowiem kierowc\u00f3w, ale nie ma sk\u0105d ich bra\u0107. Braki mog\u0105 by\u0107 tak znaczne, \u017ce jedynym lekarstwem b\u0119dzie autonomiczny transport.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Nie tak dawno pisali\u015bmy o kryzysie w bran\u017cy w zwi\u0105zku z brakiem kierowc\u00f3w. W tek\u015bcie stawiali\u015bmy tez\u0119, \u017ce to rz\u0105d musi pom\u00f3c potencjalnym kandydatom na kierowc\u00f3w. Na razie jednak ruch\u00f3w brak, a bran\u017ca musi si\u0119 rozwija\u0107. W opinii PwC s\u0105 dwie drogi \u0142atania dziur, a jedn\u0105 z nich jest w\u0142a\u015bnie transport autonomiczny.<\/p>\n

Ilu kierowc\u00f3w brakuje na ten moment?<\/h2>\n

Raport agencji podaje, \u017ce w Polsce s\u0105 braki dotycz\u0105ce 100 000 kierowc\u00f3w. To jednak nie wszystko, bo najgorsze s\u0105 prognozy. Te dochodz\u0105 do nawet 200 000 wakat\u00f3w pracowniczych. Tak du\u017ce dziury bardzo mocno odbijaj\u0105 si\u0119 na ca\u0142ej gospodarce i transporcie og\u00f3lnym, bo ci\u0119\u017cko rozwija\u0107 w kraju inne ga\u0142\u0119zie przemys\u0142u, je\u017celi przewo\u017anicy maj\u0105 problemy z kierowcami.<\/p>\n

PwC opracowa\u0142o raport pt. „Transport przysz\u0142o\u015bci. Raport o perspektywach rozwoju transportu drogowego w latach 2020-2030”. Pisze w nim, \u017ce transport i logistyka to 6 procent polskiego PKB. Ma te\u017c bardzo wa\u017cny wp\u0142yw na kszta\u0142t bud\u017cetu w Polsce. Zapotrzebowanie na us\u0142ugi jest aktualnie ogromne, ale nie idzie to w parze z zatrudnieniem.<\/p>\n

Jakie s\u0105 przyczyny takiego stanu rzeczy?<\/h2>\n

Raport podaje dok\u0142adne przyczyny braku w kadrach. Poni\u017cej 35 roku \u017cycia w 2016 roku by\u0142o tylko 17 procent wszystkich zatrudnionych. To oznacza, \u017ce teraz wielu prowadz\u0105cych przechodzi na emerytury. Problemem jest r\u00f3wnie\u017c brak kobiet w zawodzie, gdy\u017c stanowi\u0105 one nieca\u0142e 0,5 procenta wszystkich zatrudnionych.<\/p>\n

Taki spadek b\u0119dzie ci\u0105gn\u0105\u0142 si\u0119 przez lata. Cho\u0107 to na razie tylko przypuszczenia i pewne analizy, to PwC<\/a> podaje, \u017ce do 2030 roku ub\u0119dzie oko\u0142o 40 procent wszystkich kierowc\u00f3w. To natomiast oznacza ogromny krach w ca\u0142ej ga\u0142\u0119zi transportu.<\/p>\n

Autonomiczny transport albo?<\/h2>\n

Jakie lekarstwo dla bran\u017cy przewiduje tw\u00f3rca raportu? Najbardziej realnym sposobem walki z problemami kadrowymi s\u0105 kierowcy z zagranicy. Szczeg\u00f3lnie po\u017c\u0105dani b\u0119d\u0105 pracownicy ze wschodu<\/a>, szczeg\u00f3lnie Bia\u0142orusi i Ukrainy. Znaj\u0105 oni podstawy rynku, szybko si\u0119 asymiluj\u0105 i nie b\u0119d\u0105 wymagali zbyt wysokich p\u0142ac.<\/p>\n

Procent zatrudnienia zagranicznego musi wi\u0119c wzrosn\u0105\u0107 ju\u017c teraz, bo aktualnie nie ma alternatywnej opcji ratowania transportu drogowego. Inne mo\u017cliwo\u015bci daje transport automatyczny, ale na niego jest jeszcze za wcze\u015bnie. Nierealne jest, \u017ceby uda\u0142o si\u0119 nam oprze\u0107 funkcjonowanie bran\u017cy w\u0142a\u015bnie na bezza\u0142ogowych sprz\u0119tach.<\/p>\n

Realne korzy\u015bci transport autonomiczny przyniesie najpewniej dopiero za 5-10 lat. Wtedy dopiero b\u0119dzie on naprawd\u0119 konkretnym wsparciem dla ca\u0142ego rynku. Eksperci podaj\u0105, \u017ce wtedy co czwarty kierowca b\u0119dzie m\u00f3g\u0142 by\u0107 zast\u0105piony przez automat. Bardzo interesuj\u0105ce s\u0105 dane na rok 2030 \u2013 mo\u017cemy w nich przeczyta\u0107, \u017ce co drugi pracownik b\u0119dzie m\u00f3g\u0142 by\u0107 zast\u0105piony przez autonomiczny transport.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PwC opublikowa\u0142o ma\u0142o optymistyczny raport dotycz\u0105cy sytuacji transportu drogowego w Polsce. Brakuje bowiem kierowc\u00f3w, ale nie ma sk\u0105d ich bra\u0107. Braki mog\u0105 by\u0107 tak znaczne, \u017ce jedynym lekarstwem b\u0119dzie autonomiczny transport.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":22866,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149,150],"tags":[6054,6381,289,5818,70,33],"class_list":["post-22857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-z-kraju","category-ze-swiata","tag-autonomiczny-transport","tag-branza","tag-logistyka","tag-pracownicy","tag-przewoz","tag-transport-2"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"22866","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Autonomiczny transport mo\u017ce uleczy\u0107 polskie firmy transportowe? 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