{"id":23058,"date":"2019-12-23T06:01:36","date_gmt":"2019-12-23T05:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=23058"},"modified":"2019-12-23T07:55:49","modified_gmt":"2019-12-23T06:55:49","slug":"raport-dla-branzy-transportowej-optymistyczny","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/raport-dla-branzy-transportowej-optymistyczny\/","title":{"rendered":"Raport dla bran\u017cy transportowej \u2013 optymistyczny!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jak dobrze wiemy, bran\u017ca transportowa musi boryka\u0107 si\u0119 z wieloma przeciwno\u015bciami losu. K\u0142\u00f3d rzucanych przez konkurencj\u0119 i legislator\u00f3w jest niestety coraz wi\u0119cej, ale zdaje si\u0119, \u017ce poznali\u015bmy spos\u00f3b na walk\u0119 z tymi trudno\u015bciami. M\u00f3wi o tym raport jednego z bank\u00f3w.<\/p>\n

Wiele ju\u017c by\u0142o raport\u00f3w d\u0142ugo i kr\u00f3tkofalowych dotycz\u0105cych bran\u017cy. W jednych zwiastowano rych\u0142y upadek i katastrof\u0119 gospodarcz\u0105. Inne pokazywa\u0142y z kolei \u015bwietne perspektywy przed przedsi\u0119biorcami zaanga\u017cowanymi w rynek. Raport banku Pekao jest optymistyczny, ale zwraca uwag\u0119 na pewne problemy.<\/p>\n

Raport stawia na liczby<\/h2>\n

Okres, jaki obejmuje raport to rok 2030, a wi\u0119c koniec nadchodz\u0105cej nied\u0142ugo dekady. Zak\u0142ada kilka scenariuszy, ale na pocz\u0105tku skupmy si\u0119 na tym najbardziej optymistycznym. Ot\u00f3\u017c wynika z niego, \u017ce w ci\u0105gu najbli\u017cszych dziesi\u0119ciu lat skoki w sektorze transportowo-logistycznym mog\u0105 osi\u0105gn\u0105\u0107 nawet 4-5 procent rocznie.<\/p>\n

Powy\u017cej zaprezentowali\u015bmy wy\u0142\u0105cznie wariant optymistyczny raportu. Je\u017celi chodzi o ten negatywny, to tu wzrost jest du\u017co wolniejszy, ale \u2013 uwaga \u2013 r\u00f3wnie\u017c sta\u0142y. Eksperci podkre\u015blaj\u0105 jednak, \u017ce w stosunku do wszystkich ga\u0142\u0119zi gospodarki mo\u017ce on nie by\u0107 tak konkurencyjny i przestanie nap\u0119dza\u0107 pozosta\u0142e sektory zwi\u0105zane z transportem. Jak wyliczyli specjali\u015bci, pesymistyczny wzrost waha si\u0119 w granicach 2-3 procent rocznie.<\/p>\n

Powy\u017csze badania dotycz\u0105 lat 2019 \u2013 2030, a wi\u0119c ju\u017c nied\u0142ugo b\u0119dziemy mogli zobaczy\u0107, czy rzeczywi\u015bcie te przewidywania si\u0119 sprawdzaj\u0105. Bank Pekao nazwa\u0142 sw\u00f3j raport \u201eNadchodzi czas zawirowa\u0144. Jak poradzi sobie z nimi polska bran\u017ca transportowa?\u201d i musimy przyzna\u0107, \u017ce nazwa ta jest wyj\u0105tkowo trafna!<\/p>\n

Jak na tle konkurencji?<\/h2>\n

Tw\u00f3rcy podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce transport to najwa\u017cniejsza ga\u0142\u0105\u017a polskiej gospodarki i istniej\u0105 wzajemne zale\u017cno\u015bci pomi\u0119dzy og\u00f3lnymi warto\u015bciami, a samym sektorem logistyczno-transportowym. Optymistyczne jest to, \u017ce najpewniej nadal b\u0119dziemy rozwija\u0107 si\u0119 du\u017co szybciej od naszych konkurent\u00f3w w Unii Europejskiej. Na razie u nas jest to oko\u0142o 8 procent, a w skali wsp\u00f3lnoty \u2013 oko\u0142o 3 procent.<\/p>\n

Oczywi\u015bcie, eksperci nie mogli nie wspomnie\u0107 o rzeczach, kt\u00f3re wielokrotnie opisywali\u015bmy na naszych \u0142amach. S\u0105 w\u015br\u00f3d nich wyzwania takie jak niekorzystne regulacje (Pakiet Mobilno\u015bci, polityka \u015brodowiskowa uderzaj\u0105ca we wszystkie ga\u0142\u0119zie), ale tak\u017ce niedob\u00f3r pracownik\u00f3w<\/a> i coraz wi\u0119ksze wymagania dotycz\u0105ce p\u0142ac.<\/p>\n

Eksperci widz\u0105 r\u00f3wnie\u017c spore szanse. Tak\u0105 jest wsp\u00f3\u0142praca handlowa z Dalekim Wschodem (Singapur, Indie, Chiny), mo\u017cliwo\u015bci jakie daje szlak Via Carpatia, a tak\u017ce biegn\u0105cy przez nasz kraj korytarz TEN-T<\/a>. Musimy doda\u0107, \u017ce walka o ten optymistyczny scenariusz wi\u0105\u017ce si\u0119 z ci\u0105g\u0142ymi inwestycjami i wykorzystaniem wcze\u015bniej wymienionych szans.<\/p>\n

Czy to realne?<\/h2>\n

Oczywi\u015bcie, aczkolwiek niepokoi polskie tempo inwestowania i dbania o w\u0142asne interesy. Og\u00f3lny rozp\u0119d gospodarki jest jednak bardzo du\u017cy i nakr\u0119ca konsumpcjonizm. R\u00f3wnie\u017c w tej cz\u0119\u015bci PKB mo\u017cemy doszukiwa\u0107 si\u0119 szans i rozwoju dla ca\u0142ego sektora transportu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jak dobrze wiemy, bran\u017ca transportowa musi boryka\u0107 si\u0119 z wieloma przeciwno\u015bciami losu. K\u0142\u00f3d rzucanych przez konkurencj\u0119 i legislator\u00f3w jest niestety coraz wi\u0119cej, ale zdaje si\u0119, \u017ce poznali\u015bmy spos\u00f3b na walk\u0119 z tymi trudno\u015bciami.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":23067,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[4873,6393,5745],"class_list":["post-23058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-z-kraju","tag-raport","tag-trasnport","tag-via-carpatia"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"23067","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Raport banku PEKAO pokazuje optymistyczny i pesymistyczny wariant dla sektora transportu. 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