{"id":23095,"date":"2019-12-30T06:49:04","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T05:49:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=23095"},"modified":"2019-12-19T15:54:05","modified_gmt":"2019-12-19T14:54:05","slug":"polska-w-swiatowym-handlu-jak-sobie-radzimy","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/polska-w-swiatowym-handlu-jak-sobie-radzimy\/","title":{"rendered":"Polska w \u015bwiatowym handlu \u2013 jak sobie radzimy?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Koniec roku to idealny moment na podsumowania w r\u00f3\u017cnych dziedzinach gospodarki. Takie te\u017c czeka handel. Specjali\u015bci ocenili mijaj\u0105cy ju\u017c, 2019 rok i zacz\u0119li rysowa\u0107 prognozy na kolejne lata. Jak na \u015bwiatowej mapie handlu radzi sobie Polska i jaki by\u0142 ten ko\u0144cz\u0105cy si\u0119 rok?<\/p>\n

Ju\u017c na samym pocz\u0105tku mo\u017cemy si\u0119 pozytywnie zaskoczy\u0107. Cho\u0107 w wielu bran\u017cach nasza gospodarka nie rozwija si\u0119 ju\u017c tak dynamicznie, jak chocia\u017cby rok temu, to handel w naszym kraju (przynajmniej na tle \u015bwiatowej konkurencji) kwitnie. Polska ma jedne z najlepszych statystyk rozwoju na \u015bwiecie.<\/p>\n

\u015awiat zaskakuj\u0105co spowolni\u0142<\/h2>\n

Za badania 2019 roku wzi\u0119li si\u0119 specjali\u015bci z Euler Hermes. Wed\u0142ug pozyskanych przez nich danych, globalny sektor handlu spowolni\u0142 w tempie niespotykanym od dziesi\u0119ciu lat! Takiej skali na pocz\u0105tku roku nie przewidywali najwi\u0119ksi pesymi\u015bci. Cho\u0107 wolumen transportu oczywi\u015bcie ur\u00f3s\u0142, to wynosi on zaledwie 1,5 procent. W stosunku do ca\u0142ej gospodarki taka statystyka oznacza jednak straty. Przyk\u0142adem s\u0105 eksporterzy, kt\u00f3rzy strac\u0105 a\u017c 420 miliard\u00f3w dolar\u00f3w!<\/p>\n

Najgorzej zwolnienie w handlu odczu\u0142y wielkie gospodarcze pot\u0119gi. Stratni s\u0105 Chi\u0144czycy<\/a>, Niemcy i obywatele Hong-Kongu. Dla przyk\u0142adu, Pa\u0144stwo \u015arodka zanotowa\u0142o regres w wysoko\u015bci 67 miliard\u00f3w dolar\u00f3w. Recesja jest efektem wielu wypadkowych. W\u015br\u00f3d nich s\u0105 m.in. wahania kurs\u00f3w walut, niestabilno\u015b\u0107 polityczna na wielu obszarach oraz brak plan\u00f3w na poprawienie sytuacji w przysz\u0142o\u015bci. Nie bez przyczyny zostaje wojna handlowa USA i Chin.<\/p>\n

Najwi\u0119ksze straty odczuj\u0105 przedsi\u0119biorcy dzia\u0142aj\u0105cy w sektorze elektronicznym (tu straty wynosz\u0105 212 miliard\u00f3w dolar\u00f3w i wp\u0142ywaj\u0105 g\u0142\u00f3wnie na s\u0142absz\u0105 kondycj\u0119 handlow\u0105 Azji), metalowym (mniej o 186 miliard\u00f3w dolar\u00f3w) i energetycznym (regres w wysoko\u015bci 183 miliard\u00f3w dolar\u00f3w. Jak w tym trudnym okresie radzi sobie Polska?<\/p>\n

Polska \u015bwiatowym potentatem?<\/h2>\n

To oczywi\u015bcie twierdzenie na wyrost, ale wida\u0107, \u017ce nasz handel opar\u0142 si\u0119 \u015bwiatowej recesji. Problemy Unii Europejskiej, a w szczeg\u00f3lno\u015bci Niemiec nie dotycz\u0105 nas tak bardzo. Jednym z powod\u00f3w jest fakt, \u017ce krajowi przedsi\u0119biorcy zawczasu poszukali rynk\u00f3w zbytu, kt\u00f3re s\u0105 niezale\u017cne od wojny celno-handlowej pomi\u0119dzy Waszyngtonem i Pekinem. Polska zanotowa\u0142a wzrost handlu na poziomie 5,3 procent i warto\u015bci og\u00f3lnej 196,6 miliarda euro.<\/p>\n

Jako Polska handlujemy coraz \u015bmielej z krajami spoza strefy Unii Europejskiej. W czo\u0142\u00f3wce naszych partner\u00f3w handlowych jest pi\u0119\u0107 kraj\u00f3w spoza wsp\u00f3lnoty i dwa spoza Europy. To a\u017c 10 procent ca\u0142o\u015bci wolumenu. Rozwa\u017cna polityka przedsi\u0119biorc\u00f3w spowodowa\u0142a, \u017ce zanotowali\u015bmy wzrost handlowy zar\u00f3wno z Ukrain\u0105 i USA, jak i Chinami i Rosj\u0105<\/a>. To efekt dobrego rozeznania rynk\u00f3w i szybko wprowadzanych w \u017cycie wniosk\u00f3w. Pami\u0119tajmy, \u017ce europejskie rynki zbytu s\u0105 mocno nasycone i nale\u017cy szuka\u0107 kolejnych!<\/p>\n

Jak b\u0119dzie w 2020?<\/h2>\n

Analitycy podkre\u015blaj\u0105, \u017ce \u015bwiatowy handel w nadchodz\u0105cym roku pozostanie w strefie powolnego wzrostu. Najgorsze ma by\u0107 ju\u017c wprawdzie za nami, ale je\u017celi dwie gospodarcze pot\u0119gi nie dojd\u0105 do porozumienia, to nadal b\u0119d\u0105 wzajemnie odczuwa\u0107 pi\u0119tno spowalniaj\u0105cego handlu. Ka\u017cda gro\u017aba nowych ce\u0142 i podatk\u00f3w tylko straszy eksporter\u00f3w.<\/p>\n

Polska natomiast ma rozwija\u0107 si\u0119 w tempie podobnym do tegorocznego. Powinni\u015bmy jednak dzia\u0142a\u0107 dalej i szuka\u0107 kolejnych wolnych rynk\u00f3w do sprzeda\u017cy naszych towar\u00f3w.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Koniec roku to idealny moment na podsumowania w r\u00f3\u017cnych dziedzinach gospodarki. Takie te\u017c czeka handel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":23103,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[10,82,226,6160,228],"class_list":["post-23095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-handel-zagraniczny","tag-eksport","tag-handel","tag-polska","tag-swiat","tag-unia-europejska"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"23103","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Jak Polska radzi sobie w handlu na tle \u015bwiatowej konkurencji? 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