{"id":24472,"date":"2020-01-30T06:22:14","date_gmt":"2020-01-30T05:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/?p=24472"},"modified":"2020-02-17T07:56:16","modified_gmt":"2020-02-17T06:56:16","slug":"2020-co-przyniesie-trwajacy-rok","status":"publish","type":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.seaoo.com\/blog\/2020-co-przyniesie-trwajacy-rok\/","title":{"rendered":"2020 – co przyniesie trwaj\u0105cy rok?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Min\u0105\u0142 ju\u017c prawie ca\u0142y stycze\u0144 i mo\u017cemy zacz\u0105\u0107 analizowa\u0107, co przyniesie przedsi\u0119biorcom i rynkom transportowym 2020 rok. Cz\u0119\u015b\u0107 zmian wydaje si\u0119 niestety \u015brednio korzystna, ale pozytyw\u00f3w te\u017c nie powinno zabrakn\u0105\u0107. Sprawd\u017amy, czego warto si\u0119 spodziewa\u0107!<\/strong><\/p>\n

Przez miesi\u0105c 2020 roku mo\u017cemy ju\u017c kre\u015bli\u0107 pewne przewidywania. Niekt\u00f3re pokrywaj\u0105 si\u0119 z prognozami ekspert\u00f3w z minionego ju\u017c roku, a inne – oparte na dawce nowych informacji – mog\u0105 si\u0119 ca\u0142kowicie r\u00f3\u017cni\u0107.<\/p>\n

2020 rokiem konflikt\u00f3w?<\/h2>\n

Stycze\u0144 zacz\u0119li\u015bmy od awantury na linii USA – Iran i konflikcie historycznym Polski z Rosj\u0105<\/a>. Obydwie sprawy z pewno\u015bci\u0105 b\u0119d\u0105 mia\u0142y wp\u0142yw na gospodark\u0119. Zar\u00f3wno USA, jak i Iran to wiod\u0105cy przedstawiciele handlu rop\u0105, a wi\u0119c mo\u017cemy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 waha\u0144 w cenie tego kluczowego dla \u015bwiatowej gospodarki surowca. Jak jednak pisali\u015bmy w szerszej analizie sytuacji na Bliskim Wschodzie<\/a>, \u017cadna ze stron nie b\u0119dzie d\u0105\u017cy\u0107 do za\u0142ama\u0144 na rynku. Tym samym ceny najpewniej wzrosn\u0105, ale b\u0119dzie to chwilowa tendencja i niezbyt gwa\u0142towna.<\/p>\n

Je\u017celi chodzi natomiast o starcie Polski i Rosji, to tu obserwatorzy czekaj\u0105 na dalszy rozw\u00f3j wydarze\u0144. Niestety, dotychczasowe „wojny” historyczne ko\u0144czy\u0142y si\u0119 nak\u0142adaniem sankcji z jednej i drugiej strony. O ile Rosja dalej b\u0119dzie dla Polski wa\u017cnym partnerem handlowym (i vice versa) to z pewno\u015bci\u0105 na politycznej grze strac\u0105 importerzy i eksporterzy, inwestuj\u0105cy swoje \u015brodki w tych krajach.<\/p>\n

Inwestycje w transport maj\u0105 by\u0107 szersze<\/h2>\n

Je\u017celi chodzi o infrastruktur\u0119, to resorty skupi\u0142y si\u0119 g\u0142\u00f3wnie na Centralnym Porcie Komunikacyjnym. Na razie wybrano w\u0142adze jednostki, kt\u00f3re opracowa\u0142y dalszy plan dzia\u0142ania. Wiadomo, \u017ce w\u015br\u00f3d partner\u00f3w inwestycji maj\u0105 by\u0107 porty lotnicze w Chinach i Japonii. To dobry prognostyk, z kt\u00f3rego jeszcze w 2020 roku przedsi\u0119biorcy nie b\u0119d\u0105 mogli skorzysta\u0107.<\/p>\n

Na pewno skorzystaj\u0105 natomiast importerzy z Chin. PKP chce rozszerza\u0107 mo\u017cliwo\u015bci transportu kolejowego z Pa\u0144stwa \u015arodka, a do Polski przyjecha\u0142 na pocz\u0105tku roku pierwszy, bezpo\u015bredni poci\u0105g z Azji, kt\u00f3rego trasa ma wynie\u015b\u0107 od 10 do 12 dni. Taki krok w zapewnieniu w\u0142adz przewo\u017anika to r\u00f3wnie\u017c szansa dla rozwijanego transportu intermodalnego. Na razie jednak w ostatnich dniach obr\u00f3t Chin zmala\u0142, bo niekt\u00f3rzy przedsi\u0119biorcy boj\u0105 si\u0119 \u015bmierciono\u015bnego wirusa. Ten opanowa\u0142 pierwsze strony gazet i cho\u0107 szanse na to, \u017ce przyjedzie z chi\u0144skim transportem s\u0105 nik\u0142e, to ma on wp\u0142yw na wahania nastroju konsument\u00f3w i wp\u0142yw na handel.<\/p>\n

S\u0105 te\u017c zmiany w Polsce<\/h2>\n

Polscy przedsi\u0119biorcy nie b\u0119d\u0105 zadowoleni ze zmian, jakie szykuje dla nich zar\u00f3wno sam rz\u0105d, jak i Unia Europejska. W pierwszym przypadku zapowiada si\u0119 rekordowa podwy\u017cka ZUS – o 114 z\u0142otych. Skorzystaj\u0105 mali przedsi\u0119biorcy, kt\u00f3rzy b\u0119d\u0105 p\u0142aci\u0107 Ma\u0142y ZUS Plus (przych\u00f3d poni\u017cej 120 000 z\u0142otych oznacza sk\u0142adki na poziomie 800 z\u0142otych). Dotyczy to jednak tylko niewielkiego procenta firm dzia\u0142aj\u0105cych w bran\u017cy transportu.<\/p>\n

Na tapet\u0119 wraca natomiast sprawa Pakietu Mobilno\u015bci. Najpewniej – ku uciesze naszych konkurent\u00f3w i smutku firm przewozowych – ci\u0119\u017car\u00f3wki b\u0119d\u0105 musia\u0142y w trakcie kurs\u00f3w wraca\u0107 do swoich baz. Jest to du\u017ce uderzenie w sektor w Polsce. W\u0142a\u015bnie na kabota\u017cu (dodatkowy transport, bez powrotu do kraju) opieramy g\u0142\u00f3wnie nasz\u0105 si\u0142\u0119. Niestety, Unia pozosta\u0142a g\u0142ucha na argumenty o pustych przebiegach i zwi\u0119kszonej emisji, CO2 (cho\u0107 to przecie\u017c unijny konik). Tam gdzie chodzi o zwalczanie konkurencji, tam nawet ekologiczne tre\u015bci si\u0119 nie przebij\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Min\u0105\u0142 ju\u017c prawie ca\u0142y stycze\u0144 i mo\u017cemy zacz\u0105\u0107 analizowa\u0107, co przyniesie przedsi\u0119biorcom i rynkom transportowym 2020 rok. Cz\u0119\u015b\u0107 zmian wydaje si\u0119 niestety \u015brednio korzystna, ale pozytyw\u00f3w te\u017c nie powinno zabrakn\u0105\u0107. Sprawd\u017amy, czego warto si\u0119 spodziewa\u0107! Przez miesi\u0105c 2020 roku mo\u017cemy ju\u017c kre\u015bli\u0107 pewne przewidywania. Niekt\u00f3re pokrywaj\u0105 si\u0119 z prognozami ekspert\u00f3w z minionego ju\u017c roku, a …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":24486,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[150],"tags":[6388,6399,82,6396,6160,33],"class_list":["post-24472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ze-swiata","tag-6388","tag-analiza","tag-handel","tag-rok","tag-swiat","tag-transport-2"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_publicize_pending":null,"publicize_twitter_user":null,"_wpas_done_4647298":null,"_publicize_done_external":null,"_wpas_skip_4647132":null,"_wpas_skip_4647298":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"publicize_facebook_url":null,"publicize_twitter_url":null,"_wpas_mess":null,"_wpas_done_4647132":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_ht_post_sidebar":null,"_ht_post_view_single":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_gallery_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_image_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_video_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_audio_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_quote_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_link_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_status_post_excerpt":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_title":null,"_ht_pf_chat_post_excerpt":null,"_thumbnail_id":"24486","_ht_page_sidebar":null,"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Jaki b\u0119dzie 2020 rok? Za nami prawie pierwszy miesi\u0105c i mo\u017cemy ju\u017c oceni\u0107 czego mo\u017cemy sie po tym okresie spodziewa\u0107. 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